【3000附近是近8年来钢价运行的大区间下沿,节奏上仍有反复】金十期货5月9日讯,总的来看,受房地产拖累,内需复苏仍需要较长时间,出口面临关税冲击,钢材需求整体依然疲弱。叠加原料供应偏高,成本中枢下移,预计钢价弱势难改,整体延续震荡下行态势的可能性较大,操作上仍以逢高空为主。考虑到3000附近是近8年来钢价运行的大区间下沿,节奏上仍有反复,也不宜过分悲观。后期重点关注中美关税博弈进展,内需刺激政策是否加码,以及粗钢压减政策落地推进情况。
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