来源:环球网
【环球网财经综合报道】摩根大通最新研报显示,中美关税政策的调整预计将减轻对日本企业盈利的负面影响,将影响范围从预期的-10.9%缩小至-6.4%至-4.2%。
(图片来源:东方IC)摩根大通分析认为,日本股市近期强劲表现主要受三大因素驱动:美国经济数据的相对稳定、中美贸易协议的积极进展,以及日本半导体技术出口限制可能放宽的预期。这些因素共同提振了市场信心,推动日本股市连续上涨。
不过,该机构警告称,若美国维持高关税水平,日本企业盈利可能面临更大挑战。
此外,摩根大通认为全球股市将在夏季面临下行压力。美国经济放缓、美联储政策转向以及日本参议院选举等因素可能对市场构成风险。特别是,美国经济数据疲软可能导致需求下降,而美联储降息或日本央行加息预期可能引发日元升值,从而影响出口企业表现。
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