分析师:4月CPI数据没有改变美联储今年只会在12月降息一次的预期

美港电讯
13 May

【分析师:4月CPI数据没有改变美联储今年只会在12月降息一次的预期】金十数据5月13日讯,分析师安娜·王和斯图尔特·保罗表示,4月份的CPI报告显示,受特朗普关税影响最大的消费领域的通胀呈现加速态势。然而,旅游相关类别和其他娱乐服务的通缩压力抵消了商品价格的部分涨幅。该报告表明,在评估特朗普关税政策对通胀的影响时,必须同步考量其对服务业的间接冲击。鉴于服务业在CPI中有着相对较高的重要性,正如4月份的报告所显示的那样,服务业的通缩可能会抵消商品价格的上涨。尽管如此,美联储可能不会从4月份的CPI报告中得到太多信号,因为他们的预测表明,未来几个月通胀将会上升。我们维持我们的基准预期,即美联储今年只会降息一次,即在12月的会议上降息25个基点。

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