【券商聚焦】中信证券:预计Q3开始白酒公司业绩表现有望出现一定程度改善

金吾财讯
12 hours ago

金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示,2024Q2以来,受到行业消费需求疲弱拖累,上市酒企营收增长开始显著降速,同时受到竞争加剧&规模效应减弱影响,较多酒企的盈利能力一定程度承压。

今年春节旺季,白酒行业整体动销同比降幅已有一定程度收窄,若未来需求逐步企稳,考虑到2024年的基数效应,该行预计2025Q3开始白酒公司业绩表现有望出现一定程度改善。当前头部白酒公司通过提高分红率、回购、增持等不断提升股东回报,增厚投资安全边际。再考虑到后续会出台消费刺激政策和宏观经济继续复苏的预期,该行延续对头部名酒企业的配置建议。

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