金吾财讯 | 交银国际发布电池行业月报,4月中国动力和其他电池合计产量/销量为118.2GWh/118.1GWh,分别同比+49.0%/73.5%,产销比接近1;中国动力电池装车量54.1 GWh,同/环比+52.8%/-4.3%,其中磷酸铁锂电池装车量占比升至82.8%。海外动力电池市场方面,1季度中国企业份额升至42%。韩国电池企业(包括LG Energy Solution 、Samsung SDI 、LG Energy Solution )的市场份额合计达40.3%,同比-5.4%。日企松下电池市占同比-2.5ppts至7.4%。该行指,中美大幅降低双边关税水平,预计短期储能企业迎来 “抢出口”潮。中美发布联合声明(2025/5/12),其中美方将取消4月8日和4月9日对中国商品加征的共计91%的关税,修改4月2日34%的对等关税,其中24%的关税暂停加征90天,保留剩余10%的关税。据海关总署,2024中国锂离子电池出口美国金额占锂离子电池出口总额25%,其中以储能电池为主。因税率大幅下降,该行预计今年5-6月中国储能电池有望加速出口以利用窗口期。建议关注有成本和技术优势,及出海布局领先的宁德时代(300750 CH/买入)
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