Goldman Lifts China GDP Forecasts -- WSJ

Dow Jones
13 May

By Chelsey Dulaney

Goldman Sachs bumped up its forecasts for Chinese economic growth, a day after the U.S. agreed to an unexpectedly large reduction in tariffs on the country's goods.

-- Goldman said Tuesday it expects the Chinese economy to grow 4.6% this year, compared to its prior forecast for 4% growth. Its projections are for real, or inflation-adjusted, growth.

-- That would still come in below Beijing's 5% target.

-- For 2026, the bank raised its forecast to 3.8% from 3.5%.

-- Goldman expects China's export volumes to be flat this year. It had previously forecast a 5% contraction.

On Monday, Morgan Stanley said the trade pact could boost Chinese activity, but cautioned a "durable resolution remains challenging."

This item is part of a Wall Street Journal live coverage event. The full stream can be found by searching P/WSJL (WSJ Live Coverage).

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

May 13, 2025 07:08 ET (11:08 GMT)

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