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　　5月13日，人民币兑美元中间价报7.1991，上调75点。升值至2025年4月7日以来最高，升幅创2025年1月21日以来最大。

　　美联储降息前景蒙上阴影

　　随着美债收益率上升和美股反弹，与美联储基准利率挂钩的合约定价显示，交易员预计首次降息的赌注推迟到9月，现在到年底只会降息50个基点。

　　上周，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）以全票的方式决定维持利率区间在4.25%-4.50%不变，称通胀和失业率上升的风险已经上升，经济前景进一步蒙上阴影。美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表示，经济不确定性很高，美联储的政策是恰当的，强调特朗普施压不会改变美联储政策制定的方式。目前正确的做法是将利率保持在目前的水平，直到情况更加明朗。

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