荷兰国际集团（ING）利率策略师在研报中指出，未来三至六个月美国十年期国债收益率可能攀升，因通胀和财政赤字担忧将取代对经济增长的忧虑。

　　他们表示：“尽管过去六周经历了关税政策的波动，但最终局面显示此前市场对宏观经济的担忧已出现实质性减弱。”

　　在此背景下，策略师认为市场将重新聚焦于高通胀与财政赤字这一组合因素，这可能加剧美债市场的担忧情绪，并抑制市场对美联储降息的预期。策略团队预计，十年期美债收益率将迈向4.50%-4.75%区间，且存在触及5%的风险。

　　根据Tradeweb数据，周一上涨8个基点的十年期美债收益率当前持平于4.457%。

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责任编辑：王许宁

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