金吾财讯 | 中芯国际(00981)震荡走弱,截至发稿,跌3.82%,报42.75港元,成交额27.54亿港元。消息面上,交银国际发研报指,中芯国际今年首季收入为22.47亿美元,按季升2%,低于之前指引下限的按季增6%。但毛利率22.5%,则超过先前指引上限的21%,显示韧性仍强。该行估算期内或增加超过1万片12吋月产能,而平均售价则按季减9%。管理层重申不主动降价的策略,并解释收入不如预期主要因期内设备维护出现突发状况,影响到开始部分开始生产的晶圆。高盛表示,基于中芯国际经营前景、首季财报及管理层对于第二季的业务指引,将2025至2029年收入预测下调15%至16%,预期公司产品平均售价复苏时间将较预期长。憧憬中芯国际持续提高利用率和改善产品组合,高盛目前基本保持稳定毛利率预测,预料今年可达20.8%,2026至2029年料维持20%以上,但将2025至2029年净利润分别下调30%、21%、15%、14%及15%。
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