智通财经APP获悉,航空股普遍上扬,截至发稿,中国国航(00753)涨3.57%,报5.22港元;南方航空(01055)涨1.69%,报3.6港元;东方航空(00670)涨1.14%,报2.66港元;首都机场(00694)涨0.71%,报2.83港元。
华泰证券指出,4月航司运力同比增速有所提高,三大航+春秋+吉祥供给同增7.8%(1Q25为4.8%),或部分由于24年4月华南极端天气造成低基数(广州和深圳机场25年4月旅客吞吐量分别同增26.3%和23.5%);同时客座率仍表现较为突出,同增2.8pct至84.3%。另外近期行业收益水平开始改善,5/5-5/11国内航线含油票价同增11.5%(航班管家)。往后展望,该行认为行业供给增速将维持较低水平,配合航司收益管理,全年收益水平有望低开高走,叠加油价同比下降,航司盈利有望持续提升。看好暑运旺季航司兑现票价与盈利弹性,推荐航空板块。
东兴证券近日表示,今年旺季航空股具备较强的向上弹性。票价方面,今年国内航线的供给管控及价格监管有望取得较好的效果。在淡季客座率已经较高的情况下,旺季需求的提升更多会转化为票价提升,价格弹性大概率超过24年同期;成本方面,燃油价格较24年同期具备一定优势;估值方面,目前航空板块PCF估值与市值都处于历史相对较低水平。目前行业处于淡季,且市场预期处于相对低位,该行认为行业股价位于左侧,建议重点关注行业旺季盈利弹性。
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