智通财经APP获悉,富国银行认为,投资者应减持新兴市场股票,转而买入美国股票。该行投资策略师Austin Pickle在一份报告中表示,尽管新兴经济体今年以来的表现优于标普500指数,但新兴市场的超额表现通常与美元走弱相关。他预测美元将走强,并警告中美关系紧张可能带来的风险。
Austin Pickle表示:“市场对新兴市场的情绪钟摆已经过于乐观。”“我们预计2025年晚些时候全球经济将反弹,许多与贸易相关的问题最终也将得到解决,这些因素将推动新兴市场价格上涨,但其回报仍将落后于美国市场。”
Austin Pickle指出:“(投资者)可考虑投资美国的大盘股、中盘股或其他发达市场股票。”他指出,发达经济体“拥有更稳定、更可预测的监管环境,而近期欧洲增加财政支出的消息可能会继续带来正面推动力”。
富国银行的观点与华尔街其他机构形成鲜明对比,例如,摩根士丹利投资管理公司、美国银行和摩根大通等机构认为,新兴市场的股票或许终于迎来了转机。美元疲软,以及美国国债避险地位受到质疑被认为是推动新兴市场股票复苏的因素。
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