美债收益率持续下跌或加剧金融市场波动

金十财经
20 May

【美债收益率持续下跌或加剧金融市场波动】金十期货5月20日讯,国投期货表示,自2022年以来,美债持有人结构发生了较大变化。最新数据显示,美联储和外国部门持有占比由2022第一季度的58%降至44%,居民部门持有占比由3%升至10%,而后者被视为对冲基金的代表,对美债价格波动更为敏感。此外,10年期美债期限溢价再度上升,也显示出美债供需关系仍然较为紧张。短期内需要关注美债价格波动对美元流动性的影响。在回购市场上,美债作为主要抵押品,其价值如果持续下降,可能引发一系列追保、平仓事件。4月初美债价格大幅波动,主要原因就是美债收益率上升导致互换利差走弱,流动性预期恶化。如果美债的避险资产需求下降,将加剧全球金融市场波动。

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