金吾财讯 | 中信建投研报指出,国内音乐行业需求稳定,两大龙头通过社区建设和独立音乐内容扶持实现差异化,双龙头具有长期成长潜力。看行业,相比长视频,国内音乐平台具有更良性的增长环境。一方面,音乐平台受益于更高的迁移成本、更长的内容生命周期、更强的付费粘性;另一方面,短视频为音乐平台提供高效宣发渠道,两者并非竞争关系。而独家版权终结降低成本压力,监管引导良性竞争,激发增长潜力。
看增长,海外产品提升增长想象空间。Spotify的高付费率打开国内龙头收入增长空间;扶持独立音乐人策略增强对全球三大唱片公司的议价能力,打开毛利率空间。随着国内双龙头聚焦在线音乐主业的“付费会员和ARPPU”双轮驱动,在良性竞争环境和行业格局下,看好业绩可持续增长。
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