【建银国际:阿里巴巴-W第四财季喜忧参半 目标价降至160.6港元】金十数据5月19日讯,建银国际发布研报称,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)2025年第四财季业绩喜忧参半。基于SOTP估值,下调集团目标价5%,由169.1港元降至160.6港元。尽管业绩表现参差,该行仍认为阿里巴巴投资稳固,包括稳定的淘天集团(TTG)市场份额及结构性云业务增长。故维持“跑赢大市”评级。报告表示,为反映阿里巴巴更好的CMR增长、关税影响导致的云服务收入下降、即时零售和外卖业务的投资增加,以及略低的云业务利润率,建银国际将集团2026-2027财年收入预测分别下调0.7%及1.2%,经调整盈测分别下调5.2%和2.4%。同时新增2028财年的预测。展望2026财年第一财季及全年,该行预计阿里巴巴总收入增长分别为6%和7%,经调整EBITA增长3%和7%,经调整每股盈利均增6%。
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