华尔街投行:新兴市场将迎来转折,“迷失岁月”将终结

美港电讯
18 May

【华尔街投行:新兴市场将迎来转折,“迷失岁月”将终结】金十数据5月18日讯,摩根士丹利投资管理、AQR资本管理、美银和富兰克林邓普顿等公司正押注形势可能最终会转向有利于发展中市场的股票。美银策略师Michael Hartnett称它们为“下一个牛市”。AQR预测,在未来5到10年内,以当地货币计算,它们的年回报率将接近6%,超过以美元计算的美股4%的涨幅。标普500指数年内表现平平,而新兴市场的同类指数则上涨了10%,这这点燃了市场希望:过去十五年美股暴涨逾400%、新兴市场股票仅微涨7%的悬殊格局或将终结。背后动因包括美元疲软、标普指数剧烈波动以及美债避险地位遭质疑。随着特朗普政府发动贸易战,投资者日益将目光投向美国以外。富兰克林邓普顿投资策略师Christy Tan表示,她力荐新兴市场债券作为美债替代品,“我们认为美国市场暂时不再具有特殊性。”

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