【美国贸易谈判态度骤然强硬，金价短线企稳】金十期货特约光大期货点评：5月19日，COMEX黄金高开震荡，报收3232.2美元/盎司，涨幅1.41%。国内SHFE金夜盘延续小幅反弹，报收758.02元/克，涨幅0.97%。1. 上周五美股盘后，穆迪以巨额财政赤字和不断上升的利息成本为由，撤销了美国最后一个AAA信用评级。此外，众议院预算委员会周日晚间批准了特朗普总统的税收和支出法案，对于预计将增加数万亿美元赤字的提案而言，堪称里程碑。这加剧了投资者对美国债务走势的担忧。受此影响，美元指数跌超0.7%，一度逼近100点整数位心理关口，黄金一方面计价估值的上涨，一方面在美国主权信用下滑的情况下进一步交易去美元化，短期价格或偏强运行。2. 与此同时，美国贸易谈判态度骤然强硬，美国财政部长贝森特周日发出严厉警告，表明若各国不"本着诚意谈判"，美国将恢复特朗普4月2日宣布的最高关税水平。目前美国与欧盟、日本和韩国等主要盟友各方之间分歧很深，政治因素复杂，因此在七月初前，可能不会像市场预期的那样平稳，反而可能爆发更多“戏剧性事件”。避险情绪再次回归，黄金再迎支撑，可结合黄金ETF增仓情况判断本轮反弹驱动强弱。
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