大摩上调内地和香港多个指数目标 恒指明年中见24500点

智通财经
21 May

智通财经APP获悉,大摩发表报告,上调在基本情境下,恒生指数、国企指数、沪深300指数及MSCI中国指数目标,最新预测于2026年6月分别为24500点、8900点、4000点及78点,较现水平有3%至5%潜在升幅,考虑到企业盈利及估值上调、经济前景改善、人民币兑美元轻微升值,以及中国内地新一代人工智能、科技等领军。

至于在最牛及最熊情境下,恒指预期分别为28000点及18300点;国指分别为10200点及6600点;沪深300指数分别为4700点及3250点,

大摩指,受到关税、汽车行业、半导体和制药领域潜在监管措施影响,认为亚洲及新兴市场将受惠于内需和改革措施,尤其明年面对利率下降及美元疲软。

大摩维持中国“与大市同步”评级,预期短期内,在基本或最牛情境下,A股可能持续跑输离岸市场,建议下半年买入更多港股、美国预托股,可选择性持有内地人工智能及科技龙头、内地和香港的焦点股。

另外,大摩维持“增持”印度、新加坡评级,上调巴西评级至“增持”,因美元下滑。大摩又称,看好金融股、工业产业供应链多元化受惠者、通讯服务、人工智能等。

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