【SC原油昨日尾盘闪跌,后市仍将面临下行压力?】金十期货5月23日讯,周四,临近国内商品期货午盘收盘,一则消息引发原油期货快速下跌。据OPEC+内部人士透露,该组织正讨论7月连续第三个月执行41.1万桶/日的增产计划,这一数字是年初规划增产量的三倍。若该增产方案落地,将标志着OPEC+自5月以来连续第三个月保持同等规模的供给扩张。受此消息影响,SC原油主力合约在临近22日下午收盘时快速下跌。与此同时,布伦特原油、WTI原油也出现急跌。谈及油价下跌的原因,宝城期货认为有三个方面:一是OPEC+产油国增产,市场担忧供需失衡;二是全球经济增长乏力,抑制了原油需求;三是宏观情绪偏空,尤其是美国股汇债“三杀”,导致市场恐慌情绪蔓延。后市来看,需警惕6月美国财政爆雷的风险,该风险一旦发生将引发新一轮金融危机,会给大宗商品价格带来不利影响,原油也不可能独善其身。长期来看,原油需求增速将逐年放缓,供需失衡的趋势未改,油价面临下行压力,预计国内原油期货2507合约将试探前期低点支撑。
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