花旗发表报告指，该行参与了中通快递业绩后会议，引述管理层指将维持2025年快递业务量按年增长20%至24%的目标，预计中通将在未来几个季度逐步重拾市场份额。由于价格战对单票收入带来下行风险，该行降其2025至27年各年non-GAAP盈测分别11%、16%及21%，并下调估值基础，以预测今年14.4倍市盈率(原先为15倍)计，花旗将中通美股目标价从26.4美元下调至22.6美元，维持“买入”评级。

该行指，中通快递在2025年第二季度或实现高于行业平均的增长，并开始抢占市场份额。该行预测中通快递业务量按年增长18%，而行业增速为15%。考虑到价格竞争激烈，花旗银行预计中通2025年第二季度激励措施对单票收入(ASP)的负面影响仍然显著，但重点客户收入(逆向物流)的积极影响将部分抵销这一压力。截至目前，第二季度零售包裹日业务量达600万件，保持强劲增长势头。

海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.