大行评级丨高盛:下调名创优品H股目标价至46港元 下调经调整纯利预测

格隆汇
26 May

高盛发表报告指,受海外市场超预期推动,名创优品首季整体销售额按年增长19%至44亿元,略高于高盛预测的43亿元;经调整营业利润按年下滑5%,较高盛低9%,意味由于直销业务敞口扩大,经调整营业利润率收窄4.2个百分点。管理层维持今年年营收指引,但因业务模式转型(更多DTC门店)对边际利润的语调趋软化。

该行认为,DTC业务投资有望逐步显效并利好未来盈利,而名创优品计划从5月起推出S级IP(即最受欢迎系列),例如近期配合电影推出的史迪奇IP产品,或成为正面催化剂。

撇除永辉超市联营亏损但计及可转债/永辉投资相关现金利息开支后,该行降2025至2027年经调整纯利预测平均约10%,以反映经营开支预测被上调,H股目标价从50港元下调至46港元,美股目标价由25.7美元下调至23.4美元,维持“买入”评级。

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