智通财经APP获悉，优然牧业(09858)再涨超4%，截至发稿，涨4.1%，报2.54港元，成交额4482.71万港元。
东海证券表示，预计今年上游牧场产能仍处于调整和去化过程中，方向明确。在政策推动下，行业渗透率仍有提升空间，叠加下半年双节对需求的拉动，预计今年下半年原奶供需趋于平衡，奶价有望逐步企稳。若奶价进入上行周期，则牧业公司业绩端有望快速增长，估值仍有提升空间。
华西证券则表示，展望今年奶价，供给端出清或将持续，需求端随各项政策落地而逐步恢复，奶价拐点有望伴随中秋国庆“双节”消费旺季自25年下半年开启。中期来看，由于供给端产能去化后短期难以回补，未来2-3年或将维持紧平衡状态。优然牧业作为行业龙头企业，有望在本轮行业调整中受益，未来周期反转将释放较大弹性。
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