建银国际:降中国海洋石油(00883)目标价至19.6港元 维持“跑赢大市”评级

智通财经
26 May

智通财经APP获悉,建银国际发布研报称,下调中国海洋石油(00883)目标价6.7%,从21港元降至19.6港元,维持“跑赢大市”评级。中海油股价年初至今下跌7%,期间受石油期货价格12%的跌幅拖累。2025年第一季度原油价格同比下跌8%,导致中海油同期纯利相应同比下滑8%,高于预期的非经营性亏损亦为影响因素之一。该行认为中海油预计的2026和2027财年3%和4%油气产量增长,是比较保守的,希望该公司达到其指引的高值,并对该公司的新项目保持乐观态度。

该行指,中海油目前的成本控制及产油量表现,将2026及2027年油气产量预测各上调1%至7.8亿桶及8亿桶。为反映其成本管控成效,分别下调2026及2027年全成本预测10%及11%,至每桶26.7美元及26.2美元。受原油价格下行预期影响,该行将2025及2026年纯利预测下调15%及11%。

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