中信证券:2025年下半年是中国房地产行业的剧变时刻

华尔街见闻
28 May

我们认为,2025年下半年是中国房地产行业的剧变时刻。变革意味着简单扩大再生产无法持续,政策的态度从鼓励供给放量到支持供给提质。行业竞争格局发生重大变化。房地产的宏观叙事发生剧变,开发投资可能长期不振,但房价对消费的拖累预计将逐渐减弱,区域土地财政收入或进一步分化。微观层面,企业不仅面临有史以来最为困难的住宅去化环境,也迎来了有史以来最为有利的经营性不动产投融管退环境。行业可能进入模式创新频发的...

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