HTX DeepThink:美日长债拍卖遇冷引发流动性担忧,比特币仍显强势

Blockbeats
May 27, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 27 日,据 HTX Research 研究员 Chloe(@ChloeTalk1)在本期 HTX DeepThink 专栏分析指出,上周美国与日本的长期国债拍卖双双遇冷,美国 20 年期国债收益率升至 5%,日本长期利率亦创下 25 年新高,引发市场对全球流动性趋紧的担忧。

不过,当前美国财政部主要通过 3–6 个月期 T-Bill 吸收市场资金,实际影响更集中于货币基金,对风险资产影响有限;美联储亦具备暂停缩表或重启回购窗口等手段,可为市场提供流动性缓冲。受此影响,比特币展现出较强韧性:现货 ETF 维持小幅净流入,链上数据显示超 70% 的比特币已沉淀超过半年,交易所余额持续下滑,亚洲与中东资金亦在逢低买入。即便未来 7–9 月美债净融资规模可能升至 1.25 万亿美元,由于以短端发债为主,叠加回购工具托底,对高β资产的直接冲击仍较有限。

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