比推消息，谷歌量子研究员Craig Gidney发表论文称，破解2048位RSA加密（与比特币钱包加密原理类似）所需量子资源较2019年预测减少20倍。新研究显示，不足百万个噪声量子比特的量子计算机一周内即可完成破解，此前预估需2000万个。这一突破得益于算法优化和纠错技术改进。目前最先进的IBM Condor量子计算机仅1121个量子比特，尚无实际威胁，但IBM计划2033年推出10万量子比特机型，Quantinuum的目标是在2029年实现完全容错。
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