分析师:比特币横盘整理,IBIT和Deribit期权市场显现回调预期迹象

Blockbeats
29 May

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 29 日,CoinDesk 分析师 Omkar Godbole 发文表示,“比特币(BTC)自上周创下超过 11 万美元的历史新高以来,价格基本呈横盘整理走势。上涨动能的减弱,正伴随着市场参与者对与贝莱德现货比特币 ETF(IBIT)相关期权的看涨情绪逐渐减弱的迹象。

从一年期的看跌-看涨期权偏度可以明显看出这一趋势。该指标反映了市场对看跌期权(用于下行保护)相对于看涨期权(代表看涨押注)的波动性风险定价。该指标为负值通常代表市场偏多,而为正则说明市场担忧下行风险。

IBIT 的一年期期权偏度已经从两周前的 -3.8 的四个月低点回升至接近零。这意味着,IBIT 期权交易者不再积极通过期权押注进一步上涨。

或许他们预期市场将出现回调。类似的情绪也出现在 Deribit 平台的期权市场中,根据 Amberdata 的数据,短期看涨期权偏度减弱,也就是说,未来两周到期的看涨期权和看跌期权的价格趋于一致。”

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