【券商聚焦】中信证券:出口订单反弹推动制造业景气改善

金吾财讯
Jun 03, 2025

金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示,中美贸易摩擦缓和带动5月制造业PMI回升,较过去5年的均值的表现亦出现改善。从结构上看,制造业PMI多数分项指标均出现改善,部分指标的改善领先于对应实物工作量的改善,价格指标仍在环比下降之中,或反映以价换量仍在延续。从行业看,景气度回升较多的主要是电气机械及器材制造业、计算机通信电子设备及仪器仪表制造业,下降多的主要是医药制造业、专用设备制造业和传统动能相关产业。5月非制造业PMI较历史同期差距小幅收窄,对关税缓和的弹性相对较小。5月经济景气的环比改善可能源于4月暂停订单的集中回流,后续在抢出口效应结束后,经济运行仍需政策进一步支持。

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