【套袋进入中后期,苹果还减产吗?】金十期货6月5日讯,截止目前,苹果套袋工作进入中后期,随着套袋工作的进行,苹果今年套袋的数量也越发清晰,总体来看,比起坐果时,减产预期出现了明显下滑。山东内陆产区包括蒙阴、沂源今年坐果情况尚可,虽然砍树情况严重,但因去年冰雹导致了一定程度的减产,所以今年产量大概率不会少于去年。其余山西产区北部临汾略减10%左右。南部运城今年恢复性增产,去年减产普遍在60%甚至70%以上,今年将在去年基础上出现翻倍的增加,接近正常年份的产量。甘肃庆阳产区目前果农套袋后减产预期也从之前的20%、超过30%,来到现在的10%-20%,最终的减产情况并不算严重。目前套袋数据仍在进一步统计中,但目前看,今年苹果产量预计比去年减少有限,并不会有大的减产幅度。
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