Bitunix分析师:小非农爆冷引发经济降温预期BTC短线震荡,向下留意106.3K压力与104K支撑

Blockbeats
Jun 05, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,6 月 5 日,美国 5 月 ADP 就业报告仅新增 3.7 万人,远低于预期的 11 万,创逾两年新低,反映劳动市场放缓。数据显示企业因川普政策不确定性缩减招聘,尤其中小企业流失职缺。

虽然薪资仍强劲增长,但整体就业疲软,使市场预期经济放缓、降息时点可能提前。川普也再度施压鲍威尔尽快降息,强调美国经济已落于下风。此外,FedWatch 工具显示,市场对 9 月降息的机率升至 76.4%。

Bitunix 分析师建议:

短线上,疲弱数据可能支撑 BTC 延续反弹,市场关注周五非农报告,若再次显示劳动市场降温,将强化年内降息预期。

技术面上,BTC 短期压力位在 106,300 美元,突破后有望挑战 108,500;支撑区间落在 104,000–103,500 美元。建议观望偏多操作,静待非农报告进一步指引。

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