汇丰分析师表示：“我们现在预计OPEC+将在8月和9月再次大幅增产，增幅分别为 41.1万桶/日和27.4万桶/日。” 

　　汇丰：OPEC+将从10月到12月转为常规增产，这意味着其220万桶/日的“自愿”减产将在2025年底全部取消

　　该行此前预计，OPEC+将从8月起恢复小幅月度增产，并在2026年第一季度暂停

　　夏季之后持续加速增产“将证实该集团的动机不仅仅是满足季节性需求”

　　汇丰：沙特阿拉伯正在推行多方面政策，旨在打击OPEC+成员国的过度生产并重新夺回市场份额

　　汇丰预计，随着夏季需求上升吸收OPEC+增产，全球石油市场在第二季度和第三季度将保持平衡，然后在第四季度转为过剩

　　该行表示，其第四季度及以后每桶65美元的价格预期面临基本面恶化带来的“下行风险”

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