来源：宏观对冲陈凯丰Kevin

美元上周进一步下跌，在其默认点数图上完成看跌三角形，并创下2022年以来的最低水平。美元下跌对国际股市和大宗商品而言都是利好。

原油价格上周显著上涨，上涨超过6%，在其默认点数图上反转回X线。然而，原油价格在64美元面临阻力，此前在65美元中上段的支撑位也构成潜在阻力。

标普500指数表现最弱的季节性季度是6月至8月，也被称为“夏季忧郁期”。然而，并非所有时期都遵循这一趋势，因为该指数在去年同期上涨了 7%。

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