【洛杉矶动乱仍在继续，关注今日CPI数据】金十期货特约光大期货点评：6月10日，COMEX黄金价格下跌0.30%至3344.80美元/盎司，沪金主连上涨0.23%至774.96元/克。1. 冲突方面，美法官驳回加州有关立即阻止特朗普政府向该州派兵的请求，洛杉矶市长表示很快会讨论宵禁问题。经济方面，世界银行预测显示贸易纷争、政策不确定性将阻碍经济增长，将全球GDP增长预期从2.7%下调至2.3%。2. 降息方面，白宫表示有关美国财政部长贝森特被视为下一任美联储主席候选人的报道不属实。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示，6月维持利率不变的概率为99.9%，降息25个基点的概率为0.1%，到7月维持利率不变的概率为85.5%，累计降息25个基点的概率为14.5%。3. 综合而言，盘面在相对高位附近震荡整理，关注今日CPI数据对美联储未来降息的指引。
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