HTX DeepThink:CPI数据与美债拍卖临近,加密市场面临重要考验

Blockbeats
10 Jun

BlockBeats 消息,6 月 10 日,HTX Research 研究员 Chloe(@ChloeTalk1)在 HTX DeepThink 专栏中表示,本周即将公布的 5 月 CPI 数据及 220 亿美元的 30 年期美债拍卖,或将成为加密市场短期走向的关键分水岭。

市场预计核心 CPI 同比将升至 2.9%,若通胀高于预期,或打压 9 月降息预期并引发资产波动。同时,由于财政赤字扩大和政策不确定性,长债需求承压,若美债认购不佳,恐加剧流动性紧张,拖累风险资产。

期权市场释放防御信号,比特币隐含波动率升至 48%,Put/Call 比升至 0.68,显示看跌保护需求增强。其中,6 月 14 日到期、执行价 10.5 万美元的 BTC 看跌期权成交活跃。

链上数据显示市场“内坚外松”,长期持有者“已实现市值”占比升至 0.45,底部筹码稳定,但活跃地址减少、边际流动性趋弱,市场仍等待宏观信号进一步明朗。

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