【就业和通胀数据提高美联储9月降息几率】金十数据6月12日讯,美国通胀似乎正在向美联储2%的目标迈进,而劳动力数据显示失业率可能会上升。5月PPI小幅上升0.1%,申请失业救济人数仍保持在24.8万人的高位。这些因素加在一起,增强了人们对美联储可能在今秋初降息的预期。根据芝加哥商品交易所的美联储观察工具,9月份降息的几率为61%,高于昨日的58%。预计美联储将在下周和7月份维持利率不变。到12月降息两次或更多次的几率为78%,高于昨日的70%。对美联储动向非常敏感的两年期美国国债收益率受该数据影响下跌。目前为3.891%。
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