法国央行周三发布季度展望报告称，由于美国贸易战打击对法国出口产品的需求，法国经济今年的放缓幅度将超过此前预期。

　　法国央行预测，法国经济继去年增长1.1%之后，今年将仅增长0.6%，低于三个月前预计的增长0.7%。法国央行估计，受美国关税威胁和相关经济不确定性影响，法国国内生产总值（GDP）增长到2027年将累计损失0.4个百分点，之前的预测已计入半数影响幅度。

　　法国央行表示，对经济增长的大部分冲击并非直接来自关税，而是整体围绕关税的不确定性，央行的计算是假设关税将保持在特朗普政府威胁的10%水平。“这种不可预测性加大了法国和欧洲长期以来面临的增长乏力挑战，”法国央行总裁维勒鲁瓦德加洛表示。

　　法国央行预计2026年和2027年的经济增长率将分别提高到1.0%和1.2%，低于3月预测的1.2%和1.3%。

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责任编辑：王永生

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