摩根士丹利表示,欧佩克+可能正在大幅提高石油生产配额,以推动闲置产能重启,但这一转变尚未转化为实际产量的大幅增长。
包括Martijn Rats在内的分析师表示:“尽管在3月至6月期间,产量配额增加了约100万桶/日,但实际产量的增加难以察觉。”“值得注意的是,沙特的产量似乎没有大幅增加。”
近几个月来,欧佩克8个核心成员国以快于预期的速度放松供应限制,这可能会在贸易摩擦威胁需求之际增加供应,令全球石油市场动荡不安。外界认为,这一出人意料的转变是欧佩克为了从竞争对手手中夺回市场份额,并惩罚配额方面的作弊行为。
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