中信证券:依旧预计美联储年内降息次数小于或等于2次

金十财经
Yesterday

【中信证券:依旧预计美联储年内降息次数小于或等于2次】金十数据6月9日讯,中信证券研报指出,5月美国新增非农就业人数超预期,医疗保健服务和休闲酒店业是主要贡献项。1-5月失业率(三位小数)持续小幅上升,美国就业市场继续温和走弱。当前职位空缺率已回到疫情前水平,“缓冲垫”有限,就业市场继续走弱失业率或将加快上行。特朗普表示下一任美联储主席的人选很快就会宣布,我们认为无论由谁担任,美联储的独立性届时都将迎来大考。不过,在鲍威尔任期内,美联储降息路径能见度提升,我们依旧预计美联储年内降息次数小于或等于2次,或将在9月的议息会议上再度降息。

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