中金:预计鲍威尔在6月议息会议上态度偏鹰

Blockbeats
12 Jun

BlockBeats 消息,6 月 12 日,中金发文称,倾向于未来几个月会看到美国一轮物价上涨,但与 2021 至 2022 年不同,此轮涨价更具有结构性和一次性特征,并非全面通胀。对于美联储而言温和的通胀数据是个好消息,但官员们也不会因为单月数据做出重大决策。由于当前劳动力市场仍然稳定,美联储不需要急于降息,官员们或更倾向于多看几组数据再做决定。下周美联储将迎来 6 月议息会议。中金认为相较于 3 月未见“对等关税”之时的点阵图,6 月 FOMC 可能会小幅上调通胀预测,但由于非农就业韧性以及关税降温,联储对于增长的判断可能比 3 月更乐观。由此鲍威尔在这次会议上的态度可能偏鹰,这或让期待美联储降息的投资者感到失望。(金十)

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