高盛:美元“颓势难止” 英镑兑美元12个月剑指1.44

智通财经
16 Jun

智通财经APP获悉,上周英镑兑美元触及39个月高点1.3600上方,随后因英国就业数据弱于预期回落至1.3500附近。高盛集团预计,美元将在全球市场持续走弱,且这一趋势仍有较大延续空间。该行将英镑兑美元6个月目标从1.35上调至1.40,12个月目标从1.39升至1.44。针对美国经济,高盛指出,尽管月度非农就业数据略超预期,但整体仍印证经济潜在放缓趋势。结合美国经济表现不再独树一帜,该行认为中期内美元将持续承压。

今年以来,美国股市整体表现持平,而欧洲股市涨幅显著,若计入汇率损失,两者差距更为悬殊。高盛持续强调减持美元资产的合理性,尤其鉴于美国市场对海外投资者的吸引力正在下降。

市场将密切关注关税政策最新动态及参议院即将辩论的预算法案。该行警示,即便释放资本管制信号,也将进一步打击投资者对美元资产的信心。

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