【电解铝：宏观与基本面共同作用，铝价震荡上涨】金十期货6月13日讯，近日铝价震荡攀升，两个交易日累计上涨近500元/吨。截至6月12日，现货A00铝日均价为20640元/吨，环比涨幅1.23%，同比跌幅0.67%。主因有：一、国内聚焦中美经贸会谈，预期进展良好，提振风险偏好。虽市场预期鲍威尔在美联储6月议息会议的态度或“偏鹰”，降息概率下降，但中东地缘局势紧张、美指走弱以及中美贸易乐观预期升温，对铝价形成向上驱动。二、近期铝水比偏高，消费地铝锭到货偏少，而下游需求窄幅趋弱，并未呈现明显的淡季特征，电解铝社会库存持续减少，对价格起到支撑。预计后市铝价或呈现先涨后回落的走势，主流区间参考20200-20700元/吨。
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