金吾财讯 | 中信证券研报指出，当前中东、俄乌地缘冲突主导油价大幅上行，短期内油价持续高位波动，关注矛盾是否进一步激化及原油基础设施港口等运行条件。OPEC+的增产策略在高油价下或发生变化，关注7月6日即将召开的下一次会议。当前欧美需求正值旺季，关注去库表现能否支撑高油价。中国需求弱势运行，关注是否进一步下探。综合来看，短期地缘扰动推动布伦特期货价格或在70-100美元/桶运行，若需求不及预期且OPEC+持续增产，中枢将逐步下移。
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