BlockBeats 消息,6 月 19 日,HTX DeepThink 专栏作者、HTX Research 研究员 Chloe(@ChloeTalk1)发文指出,随着中东地缘局势趋紧与美联储释放鹰派信号,加密市场或步入潜在剧烈波动期。
消息称,美国或将对伊朗核设施与核心军事目标展开打击,标志着美伊关系可能从代理人冲突转向直接军事对抗。若行动延伸至政权更替,将加剧中东资本流动波动并推升全球避险情绪。
宏观方面,美联储在最新 FOMC 会议中维持利率不变,但点阵图显示鹰派倾向增强:2025 年预计降息幅度为 50 个基点不变,2026 年及之后的降息预期被显著下调。19 位委员中,仅 10 人预计年内降息两次,7 人则预计全年不降息,反映出对通胀路径与经济前景的不确定性正在升温。
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