智通财经APP获悉,周二,高盛将嘉年华邮轮(CCL.US)的目标股价从32美元下调至31美元,但维持"买入"评级。该投行指出,近期地缘政治动荡和油价波动为这家邮轮运营商的业绩前景增添了复杂性。
尽管自4月以来股价上涨使得市场预期较高,但高盛预计嘉年华仍将上调2025年净收益率指引。该行认为,嘉年华将证明其业务占比较大的非高端、短途和近程航线预订表现优于高端选项。
高盛数据显示,嘉年华近期预订趋势加速,与下月开放的"庆典岛"相关搜索量增加。该行测算,仅"庆典岛"项目就将在2026年为收益率贡献约2个百分点。
高盛特别指出,嘉年华年底有望达到投资级财务指标意义重大,公司去杠杆化进程及后续可能实施的资本回报计划将成为中期重要催化剂。
该行认为市场对2026年的预期过于保守,因此嘉年华关于该年度预订情况的表述尤为重要。高盛同时强调,由于专注本地客源,嘉年华欧洲航线预订保持强劲,这与竞争对手报告美国游客欧洲航线疲软形成对比。
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