大行评级|高盛:预计618商品交易额增长10%至11% 电商行业偏好京东和快手

格隆汇
Jun 20, 2025

高盛发表研究报告指,中国电子商务行业在2025年618购物节中表现稳健,预计总商品交易额(扣除退货前)增长约10至11%,在5月12日至6月15日期间,包裹量增长达15%。该行建议采取更为防守的子行业配置策略,优先选择游戏、移动出行和互联网垂直领域。在电商领域,偏好京东和快手,评级均为“买入”。 报告提到,今年的618购物节中,电子/家电产品驱动行业商品交易额健康增长;电子商务现有企业和新兴短视频平台的商品交易额增长一致;更加注重即时按需电子商务;平台透过经简化促销活动持续支持商家和生态系统;以及人工智能在电商活动的应用增加。

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