大摩称香港房地产市场将进入上升周期

格隆汇
Jun 20, 2025

摩根士丹利发布研报称,香港住房价格从高峰下跌30%后,可能正迎来一个或将持续四到五年的上升周期。Ronald Kamden等分析师在一份报告中写道,支撑住房市场的因素包括印花税取消、Hibor下降导致按揭利率降低、来自内地买家和移民的需求增加等。中原城市领先指数(CCL)自2021年8月以来已下跌30%,住房可负担性回落至2011年的水平,预计2025年下半年房价将上涨2%。看好新鸿基地产(超配)、恒基地产(超配)及嘉里建设(等权重),低配新世界发展和九龙仓置业。

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