Matrixport:流动性路径揭示比特币通往14万美元,模型有效性待市场验证

Blockbeats
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BlockBeats 消息,6 月 18 日,Matrixport 发布每日分析称,过去 18 个月,全球流动性变化多次提前反映比特币走势,被不少投资者视为重要的“先行指标”,但随着市场结构的演化这一模型的预测效力正在减弱,需持续验证与动态调整。

当前比特币价格维持在 105,000 至 110,000 美元之间震荡,与该模型所提示的 13 周滞后节奏基本一致。若该相关性持续有效,比特币需守住当前支撑区间方能维持上涨预期。若走势进一步确认,比特币价格或将在今年夏末攀升至 14 万美元。市场对该模型的稳定性仍存分歧,但在未被证伪之前,作为观察市场情绪与趋势变化的工具,仍具一定参考价值。

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