高盛警告:美债直逼“二战”巅峰水平,拖延解决赤字将迎惨烈财政紧缩

Blockbeats
Jun 20, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,6 月 20 日,高盛指出,特朗普的支出计划无法阻止美国国债攀升至“不可持续”的高位,美国债务水平目前仅次于第二次世界大战时期。明年美国需为 36 万亿美元国债支付 1 万亿美元利息,金额超过医疗保险和国防开支总和。高盛经济学家警告,若美国立法者拖延解决赤字问题,未来可能需通过史上罕见的财政紧缩来避免危机。“大规模财政整顿可能导致 GDP 下滑,反而无法降低债务与 GDP 比率。更危险的是可能选择大量印钞偿债——上世纪 20 年代德国魏玛共和国的前车之鉴表明,这种操作将引发恶性通胀与社会动荡。”

无党派国会预算办公室估计,共和党支出法案将在未来十年增加 2.8 万亿美元赤字。白宫与部分共和党议员辩称,预测不应包含延长特朗普 2017 年减税政策的成本,该政策若未延期将于今年到期。(金十)

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10