据国会预算办公室（CBO）最新估算，众议院版本的共和党税收和支出法案将在未来十年内使美国赤字增加2.8万亿美元。

　　该预估值考虑了法案对经济和联邦预算的更广泛影响，高于此前估计的2.4万亿美元，因后者未纳入所谓的动态效应。CBO周二发布声明称，法案导致的利率上升将在十年内增加4410亿美元赤字，但经济增长带来的借贷降幅仅为850亿美元左右。

　　尽管共和党声称该法案将刺激经济，CBO预计影响有限，未来十年平均年度GDP增长率仅提高0.04个百分点，基线增长率约为1.8%。

　　财政部长斯科特·贝森特设定了3%的持续GDP增长目标，并于上月表示经济将在12个月后至少达到这一增速。他和其他共和党成员多次批评CBO未考虑法案中的“促增长”激励措施。

　　独立分析也显示法案将增加联邦借款。沃顿商学院预算模型本月早些时候估计，纳入动态效应后赤字将增加3.2万亿美元，Tax Foundation估计为3.1万亿美元。

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