金吾财讯 | 华源证券发研报指,招金矿业(01818)实际控制人为招远市人民政府,专注于黄金探矿、采矿、选矿、冶炼及销售全产业链运营。公司国内以山东招远为核心,拥有大尹格庄、金翅岭、夏甸等6座主力金矿,并在海域金矿等项目中与紫金矿业形成战略合作;国际化方面,通过并购非洲科特迪瓦阿布贾金矿及塞拉利昂科马洪金矿等项目,构建全球资源网络。2024年公司金资源量、储量、产量分别达到1,446.16吨、517.54吨和26.4吨(矿产金产量18.34吨,同比+4.34%,冶炼金产量8.1吨,同比+14.1%),位居国内黄金企业前列。该机构表示,公司内生聚焦海域金矿投产,外延并购非洲阿布贾、科马洪金矿,“国内一半,国外一半”的战略布局正逐步深化,内生与外延协同,资源潜力有望加速释放。具体来看,海域金矿建设工作正按计划顺利进行,基建、设备等多个关键节点形成突破;阿布贾金矿已经稳定达产,新破碎系统项目建设有效提高矿石处理能力,APG第二矿山可研有望贡献远期增量;科马洪金矿收购完成后,公司加大其它区块探矿找矿力度,具有较好勘探前景。该机构预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为30.25/35.33/39.14亿元,同比增速分别为108.50%/16.80%/10.80%,当前股价对应PE分别为22.03X/18.86X/17.03X。该机构选取同行业A股和H股相关公司为可比公司,平均PE分别为25.61X/21.37X/16.42X。公司产量稳步增长,“双H”战略增量可期,充分享受金价上涨弹性。首次覆盖,给予“买入”评级。
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