尽管美国对伊朗核设施发动袭击但市场反应暂未显著波动不过后续局势仍可能发生重大变化。交易员目前高度关注油价走势以及霍尔木兹

智通财经
23 Jun
尽管美国对伊朗核设施发动袭击但市场反应暂未显著波动不过后续局势仍可能发生重大变化。交易员目前高度关注油价走势以及霍尔木兹海峡这一关键航运通道是否会受干扰。标普 500 指数期货上涨 0.2%纳斯达克 100 指数期货涨幅 0.3%。美国国债收益率保持稳定西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格回吐早前涨幅仅微涨 0.4%。投资者正处于观望状态同时在推演各种可能情景。潘缪尔利伯伦(Panmure Liberum)策略师指出若伊朗采取报复行动美股可能遭遇 5%-10% 的抛售;若伊朗同时封锁霍尔木兹海峡则可能引发 10%-20% 的回调并带来严重的滞胀冲击。摩根士丹利的历史分析显示多数由地缘政治驱动的股市抛售往往持续时间较短或幅度有限。上周“做空原油反弹” 交易已吸引投资者关注因市场认为主要产油国在供应中断时具备增产能力。

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